2018 College Basketball Preseason Rankings & Ratings

2018 College Basketball Preseason Rankings & Ratings

November 5, 2018 – by David Hess

Our 2018 college basketball preseason rankings were posted to the site on this weekend. Here’s a brief discussion of those rankings, as well as the full rankings and ratings for all 353 teams.

Who Is #1?

Like last season, a case can be made for a few different teams:

Duke has by far the highest-rated recruiting class of all time (more on this below), and returns roughly the same percent of its production it did last season (when it finished #2 in our ratings)Kansas has one of the highest-rated transfers in our database in Dedric Lawson, returns Udoka Azubuike to pair with Lawson and form perhaps the best frontcourt in the country, returns half of its defensive production, and has the 5th-rated recruiting class this year,North Carolina is is the second-highest-rated team from last season (after Virginia) that returns at least 60% of its production, plus has the 3rd-rated recruiting class this yearVirginia is the highest-rated team from last season that returns at least 60% of its productionNevada returns nearly 70% of its production from a team that made a Final Four run, plus has the third-rated incoming transfer class in our databaseTennessee is the highest-rated team from last season that returns at least 90% of its production

For our preseason projections, we rate the first four teams listed above as our top four teams. (Nevada is #7 and Tennessee is #8.) But there’s only a 0.9-point gap between #1 Duke and #4 Virginia — meaning we’d favor Duke over Virginia on a neutral court by less than a point. It’s close to a 4-way toss up at the top.

Duke’s Great Recruiting Class

We’re getting a little déjà vu with the Blue Devils. Last fall, Duke was our preseason #1 despite returning less than 20% of its production. That was mostly due to a phenomenal recruiting class, which at the time was the second-rated class in our database.

Well, this season Duke returns almost exactly the same percent of its production as last season (19% this year vs 18% last year), and has an even better recruiting class — the best one we’ve ever seen. Duke’s class includes the #1, #2, #4, and #13 ranked recruits according to the final RSCI consensus rankings.

Some of you may have seen preseason highlights of Duke’s incoming freshman Zion Williamson making highlight reel dunks and showing off great handles and a smooth jumper for a big man. He’s sparking articles with titles like There Has Never Been A Basketball Player Like Duke’s Zion Williamson. Aaaaand … he’s only the Blue Devils’ third-highest-rated recruit.

Let’s refresh the data we showed last season, highlighting the results of the other top recruiting classes in our database. Again, while not without hiccups, the overall performance has been very good. (If you are comparing this data to last season, please note that we made slight updates to our recruit ranking point-value scale, so the order of a couple teams has shifted.)

#1: 2018-19 Duke … ???#2: 2013-14 Kentucky … only an 8 seed, but lost in the title game#3: 2011-12 Kentucky … 38-2, national champs#4: 2017-18 Duke … #2 seed, lost in overtime in the regional final to #1 seed Kansas#5: 2013-14 Kansas … upset by Stanford in the second round … but they were missing Joel Embiid to injury, and obviously wouldn’t have been the #4 class without him#6: 2014-15 Duke … 35-4, national champs#7: 2016-17 Duke … upset in second round … 3 of the 4 main freshman missed several games, disappointing season overall, but still a #2 seed#8: 2006-07 Ohio State … 35-4, lost in title game to Florida, which was one of the greatest teams in recent history#9: 2005-06 Duke … 32-4, #1 seed, upset in Sweet 6#10: 2009-10 Kentucky … 35-2, #1 seed, lost in Elite 8

If Duke had actually returned a core of solid rotation players from last season, and added this class, they’d be the clear title favorite. As it stands, they’re still our #1, but by just a fraction of a point.

The Year Of The Transfer

Transfers are becoming more common every year, and it seems like this could be their breakout season. Half of our preseason top ten teams are projected to benefit heavily from incoming transfers this season.

When we make our projections, we come up with a point value for each transfer. In the seven seasons since we started calculating transfer values for preseason projections, we’ve projected six transfers to be worth at least 4 points. Three of them are playing for teams in the top 10 of our 2018 college basketball preseason rankings:

4.4 pts: Joe Cremo (to 2018-19 Villanova, from Albany)4.4 pts: Arsalan Kazemi (to 2013-14 Oregon, from Rice)4.4 pts: Damion Lee (to 2015-16 Louisville, from Drexel)4.4 pts: Trey Porter (to 2018-19 Nevada, from James Madison)4.2 pts: Dedric Lawson (to 2018-19 Kansas, from Memphis)4.1 pts: Stanton Kidd (to 2014-15 Colorado State, from NC Central)

If we expand the window to look at transfers projected to be worth 3 or more points, there are 27 players over the last seven years. Twelve (12) of them are joining teams this season. That includes two more players helping teams in our 2018 preseason top ten:

3.8 pts: Brandon Clarke (to 2018-19 Gonzaga, from San Jose State)3.2 pts: Reid Travis (to 2018-19 Kentucky, from Stanford)

Altogether, that means 5 of our 27 highest-rated transfers from the last seven years — nearly 20% of the biggest impact transfers in recent seasons — are joining teams in this season’s top 10. If the cards fall just right, we could see a Final Four where every team starts a major-impact transfer.

2018 College Basketball Preseason Rankings Method

To create our preseason rankings, we first establish a baseline prediction for a team, given its power ratings from recent years, and assuming an average amount of roster turnover. Then we make some adjustments based on how much value each team is returning on offense and defense, as well as the strength of its recruiting classes from the past few years, and the value of any transfers they’ve added this season. The result is our 2018 college basketball preseason rankings. For a more complete description, check out our blog post from five years ago.

As always, we’ve refit the model during the offseason, in order to take into account another year of data.

What Do We Use Them For?

The resulting ratings drive our preseason projections, and they serve as the Bayesian priors for our predictive ratings as the season progresses. (Translation: our preseason ratings still impact our team ratings even months into the season, because that has shown to be more predictive than not.)

Below you’ll find a preseason top 25 comparison between TeamRankings, Ken Pomeroy, Bart Torvik, ESPN’s BPI, the AP poll, and the ESPN Coaches poll. And at the end of the post you’ll see our full rankings and ratings for all 353 Division I teams.

Using these ratings, we’ve run full season projections, which are live on the site now. Go check’em out! Pages include:

College Basketball Projected Conference Standings. Projected conference records and full regular season records, plus win odds for both the conference regular season title and the postseason tournament.Bracketology Projections. Odds to make the NCAA tournament, plus projected seeding, and lots more details. (One of our faves is the Bracketology By Conference page.)NCAA Tournament Bracket Predictions. Round by round advancement odds, including probability of a team making the Sweet 16, making the Final Four, and winning the championship.

This is all data-driven, and automated, so it will update every morning throughout the season.

Ratings Accuracy

Before we get to the 2018 college basketball preseason rankings themselves, it’s worth noting that Ken Pomeroy and Dan Hanner have compared our preseason ratings and/or projections with other stat-based prognosticators in past years. Our finish has been consistently good, though also consistently a bit behind Dan Hanner’s bottom-up, player-based projections. (Links below go to the comparison blog posts from Ken and Dan.)

2017-18: 2nd of 7 (behind Hanner)2016-17: 4th of 7 (behind Torvik, Hanner, Gasaway)2015-16: 2nd of 7 (behind Hanner)2014-15: 2nd of 4 (behind Hanner)2013-14: 2nd of 4 (behind Hanner)2012-13: 1st of 3

Taking a few years of data into account, we feel we probably have the second best preseason ratings, behind Dan Hanner’s player lineup based projections, but ahead of Ken Pomeroy, ESPN, and human rankings.

We say this not to brag, but to try to preemptively defend ourselves against the inevitable “Team X is WAY too high/low! You don’t know what you’re doing!” comments. While these are by no means perfect rankings, the projections they drive have held their own in comparisons with other top projection systems. We expect them to do so again this season. We’re going to get plenty of individual teams wrong, but that’s inevitable when the challenge is to project 353 teams.

[Side note: Unfortunately, Dan Hanner has decided to retire from the preseason ratings game. In past seasons you could enjoy his preseason rankings and player projections at Sports Illustrated, but that is no longer the case.]

Preseason Top 25 Comparison

Let’s take a look at all the teams that made it into at least one preseason top 25 from among this group:

Our 2018-19 college basketball preseason ratings (TR)Ken Pomeroy’s preseason ratings (KP)Bart Torvik’s preseason ratings (BT)ESPN’s Basketball Power Index (BPI)AP poll (AP)Coaches poll (Coach)

The table below lists all such teams, and shows the preseason rank in each system. It also shows the average rank, and a column indicating how far TR is from the consensus. (Positive numbers mean we project a team to rank better than the consensus, and negative is the reverse.) For teams receiving no votes in the polls, we used a rank of 55. Teams are listed in ascending order by average rank.

Team	TR	KP	BT	BPI	AP	Coaches	AVG	TR Diff
Kansas	2	1	2	1	1	1	1.3	-0.7
Virginia	4	4	1	3	5	5	3.7	-0.3
Duke	1	2	3	11	4	3	4.0	3.0
N Carolina	3	3	6	2	8	7	4.8	1.8
Kentucky	5	7	5	9	2	2	5.0	0.0
Gonzaga	9	9	4	4	3	4	5.5	-3.5
Villanova	6	5	13	6	9	8	7.8	1.8
Tennessee	8	11	12	5	6	6	8.0	0.0
Nevada	7	6	9	15	7	9	8.8	1.8
Michigan St	10	13	8	16	10	10	11.2	1.2
W Virginia	11	10	7	13	13	13	11.2	0.2
Syracuse	12	8	16	7	16	14	12.2	0.2
Auburn	15	17	14	20	11	12	14.8	-0.2
Kansas St	20	12	18	17	12	11	15.0	-5.0
Florida St	18	15	22	21	17	15	18.0	0.0
Florida	17	19	15	14	29	28	20.3	3.3
Clemson	16	14	32	18	22	23	20.8	4.8
VA Tech	31	22	21	19	15	17	20.8	-10.2
Miss State	24	23	17	28	18	19	21.5	-2.5
Oregon	23	27	11	39	14	16	21.7	-1.3
Michigan	13	24	20	42	19	18	22.7	9.7
Wisconsin	21	20	24	8	32	42	24.5	3.5
Marquette	25	29	29	10	27	30	25.0	0.0
Purdue	14	18	42	36	24	22	26.0	12.0
Miami (FL)	19	21	10	34	40	47	28.5	9.5
TX Christian	41	34	31	43	20	21	31.7	-9.3
Texas Tech	22	26	27	35	44	55	34.8	12.8
Texas	39	16	35	30	45	44	34.8	-4.2
Alabama	51	51	23	26	35	33	36.5	-14.5
Nebraska	35	38	40	55	30	25	37.2	2.2
Iowa State	26	25	33	33	55	55	37.8	11.8
Iowa	28	35	38	25	55	55	39.3	11.3
Houston	33	45	48	22	55	55	43.0	10.0
Arizona St	36	53	25	48	46	55	43.8	7.8
Baylor	38	40	77	12	55	46	44.7	6.7
Washington	54	46	53	67	25	24	44.8	-9.2
Northwestern	59	57	45	24	55	55	49.2	-9.8
LSU	61	50	74	65	23	26	49.8	-11.2
Seton Hall	56	54	19	68	55	55	51.2	-4.8
UCLA	48	47	83	97	21	20	52.7	4.7
W Kentucky	52	79	59	23	55	55	53.8	1.8

Preseason Top 25 Comparison Highlights

A few points stick out:

Three different teams are ranked #1: Kansas (Pomeroy, BPI, AP, Coaches), Duke (TeamRankings), and Virginia (Torvik).After Kansas at #1, there’s not much consensus. Kansas is ranked 1st or 2nd by every system. Every other team is ranked 5th or worse in by least one system.TeamRankings is the only ranking with Duke at #1. BPI, on the other hand, doesn’t even see Duke as a Top 10 team.The computers all rank North Carolina higher than the humans. The Tarheels seem similar to Wichita State last season, with a pretty high floor, but perhaps not a national title ceiling. Because most analytical projections are designed to forecast the average rating they expect a team to have if the season is played out millions of times, that high floor boosts UNC’s rating. AP Poll and Coaches Poll voters, on the other hand, are probably paying a bit more attention to ceilings, and less to floors.Pomeroy’s rankings have the highest correlation with the consensus, among the 39 teams listed here. BPI’s have the lowest. The rank order is: Pomeroy (0.926), TeamRankings (0.921), AP Poll (0.840), Torvik (0.831), Coaches Poll (0.818), BPI (0.725).BPI has several big outliers both in and outside of their Top 10. BPI has the most optimistic projections by far for Wisconsin (BPI #8, average #25) and Marquette (BPI #10, average #25). They also have Baylor at #12 when the average is #45. And they’re the only ranking with Duke (#11, average #4) or Nevada (#15, average #9) outside the top 10.We rank 5 teams at least 9 spots worse than consensus. We’re most pessimistic about Alabama (#51, average #37), followed by LSU (#61, average #50), Virginia Tech (#31, average #21), Northwestern (#59, average #49), and TCU (#41, average #32).We rank 7 team at least 10 spots better than consensus. From most optimistic to least: Texas Tech (#22, average #35), Purdue (#14, average #26), Iowa State (#26, average #38), Iowa (#28, average #39), Houston (#33, average #43), Michigan (#13, average #23), and Miami (#19, average #29).

 

Full 2018 College Basketball Preseason Rankings & Ratings, From #1 To #353

Below are our full 2018 college basketball preseason rankings.

Keep in mind that sometimes teams can be separated by several ranking spots, but have nearly identical ratings. On the flip side of the coin, two teams can be ranked adjacent to each other, but can have a big ratings gap.

Let’s look near the top of the rankings this season for an example. #10 Michigan State and #11 West Virginia are separated by 1.5 ratings points. That’s slightly larger than the difference between Michigan State and #5 Kentucky.

In other words, #10 Michigan State is closer to being #5 than they are #11.

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Duke	19.5
2	Kansas	19.2
3	N Carolina	18.6
4	Virginia	18.6
5	Kentucky	17.5
6	Villanova	17.4
7	Nevada	17.0
8	Tennessee	16.5
9	Gonzaga	16.4
10	Michigan St	16.1
11	W Virginia	14.6
12	Syracuse	14.6
13	Michigan	14.4
14	Purdue	14.3
15	Auburn	14.2
16	Clemson	14.2
17	Florida	14.2
18	Florida St	14.1
19	Miami (FL)	14.1
20	Kansas St	14.0
21	Wisconsin	14.0
22	Texas Tech	13.1
23	Oregon	12.8
24	Miss State	12.7
25	Marquette	12.6
26	Iowa State	12.3
27	Indiana	12.3
28	Iowa	12.2
29	Cincinnati	12.2
30	Butler	12.0
31	VA Tech	12.0
32	St Johns	11.9
33	Houston	11.8
34	Creighton	11.8
35	Nebraska	11.8
36	Arizona St	11.7
37	Ohio State	11.6
38	Baylor	11.3
39	Texas	11.3
40	Maryland	11.2
41	TX Christian	11.0
42	San Diego St	10.9
43	NC State	10.8
44	Texas A&M	10.8
45	Xavier	10.7
46	Oklahoma	10.7
47	Notre Dame	10.5
48	UCLA	10.4
49	St Marys	9.7
50	Penn State	9.4
51	Alabama	9.4
52	W Kentucky	9.3
53	Georgetown	9.2
54	Washington	9.2
55	Louisville	9.2
56	Seton Hall	9.2
57	Providence	9.2
58	S Methodist	9.2
59	Northwestern	9.0
60	Northeastrn	9.0
61	LSU	9.0
62	BYU	8.5
63	S Carolina	8.4
64	Central FL	8.4
65	Wichita St	8.4
66	Buffalo	8.3
67	Davidson	8.2
68	USC	8.0
69	Arizona	7.9
70	Georgia	7.8
71	Montana	7.7
72	Missouri	7.7
73	Loyola-Chi	7.3
74	Temple	7.3
75	Fresno St	7.1
76	Illinois St	6.9
77	Minnesota	6.9
78	S Dakota St	6.9
79	Vanderbilt	6.8
80	Oklahoma St	6.6
81	LA Lafayette	6.5
82	Boston Col	6.4
83	Richmond	6.3
84	Oregon St	6.3
85	Utah	6.2
86	DePaul	6.2
87	Illinois	6.2
88	New Mexico	6.0
89	Harvard	6.0
90	UC Irvine	5.9
91	Arkansas	5.9
92	Connecticut	5.9
93	Colorado	5.8
94	Valparaiso	5.7
95	Dayton	5.7
96	Georgia St	5.7
97	Boise State	5.7
98	VCU	5.6
99	Old Dominion	5.5
100	Ste F Austin	5.5
101	U Penn	5.5
102	Middle Tenn	5.4
103	Rhode Island	5.3
104	Rider	4.9
105	N Mex State	4.8
106	Mississippi	4.7
107	Saint Louis	4.6
108	St Bonavent	4.5
109	Wofford	4.4
110	South Dakota	4.3
111	Tulsa	4.3
112	Wake Forest	4.2
113	Memphis	4.0
114	NC-Grnsboro	4.0
115	Marshall	3.8
116	N Iowa	3.6
117	UNLV	3.3
118	Toledo	3.3
119	Stanford	3.2
120	Yale	3.1
121	Ball State	3.0
122	Belmont	3.0
123	S Illinois	2.9
124	GA Tech	2.9
125	San Diego	2.7
126	Iona	2.6
127	Grand Canyon	2.6
128	Wm & Mary	2.5
129	Furman	2.4
130	Lipscomb	2.3
131	Col Charlestn	2.3
132	S Alabama	2.2
133	St Josephs	2.2
134	LA Tech	2.2
135	Rutgers	2.1
136	Hofstra	2.1
137	UC Davis	2.1
138	Pittsburgh	2.1
139	E Michigan	2.0
140	Murray St	2.0
141	Geo Mason	1.9
142	Vermont	1.8
143	UAB	1.6
144	Utah Val St	1.4
145	CS Fullerton	1.4
146	Canisius	1.3
147	Wright State	1.2
148	Bradley	1.2
149	San Fransco	1.2
150	Princeton	1.1
151	Missouri St	0.9
152	Northern Kentucky	0.9
153	North Texas	0.8
154	UCSB	0.8
155	Weber State	0.7
156	Monmouth	0.7
157	Utah State	0.6
158	Kent State	0.6
159	Bucknell	0.4
160	NC-Wilmgton	0.3
161	California	0.2
162	IPFW	0.1
163	GA Southern	0.1
164	E Tenn St	0.1
165	U Mass	0.0
166	Indiana St	-0.1
167	Radford	-0.1
168	E Washingtn	-0.2
169	Fla Gulf Cst	-0.4
170	Ohio	-0.5
171	Evansville	-0.5
172	Jksnville St	-0.5
173	Pacific	-0.7
174	Winthrop	-0.8
175	App State	-0.9
176	Loyola Mymt	-0.9
177	Wyoming	-1.0
178	Geo Wshgtn	-1.0
179	N Colorado	-1.0
180	James Mad	-1.1
181	La Salle	-1.1
182	North Dakota State	-1.2
183	Lg Beach St	-1.3
184	Duquesne	-1.4
185	St Peters	-1.4
186	Towson	-1.5
187	Hawaii	-1.5
188	TX-San Ant	-1.5
189	Akron	-1.5
190	Central Mich	-1.5
191	Liberty	-1.8
192	Lehigh	-1.8
193	Drake	-1.9
194	Austin Peay	-1.9
195	St Fran (PA)	-2.0
196	TX El Paso	-2.1
197	Tulane	-2.1
198	Troy	-2.1
199	Colorado St	-2.2
200	Wash State	-2.2
201	LA Monroe	-2.2
202	Delaware	-2.3
203	Stony Brook	-2.4
204	S Mississippi	-2.5
205	N Illinois	-2.6
206	CS Bakersfld	-2.7
207	Denver	-2.9
208	Morehead St	-2.9
209	Brown	-3.0
210	Miami (OH)	-3.1
211	Columbia	-3.1
212	IL-Chicago	-3.2
213	Army	-3.3
214	Texas State	-3.3
215	Elon	-3.3
216	Florida Intl	-3.4
217	Hartford	-3.4
218	Colgate	-3.4
219	Lamar	-3.5
220	Bowling Grn	-3.6
221	New Jersey Tech	-3.7
222	TX-Arlington	-3.9
223	Nicholls St	-3.9
224	Portland St	-3.9
225	W Michigan	-4.0
226	Oakland	-4.1
227	WI-Grn Bay	-4.1
228	N Florida	-4.2
229	Wagner	-4.3
230	Pepperdine	-4.4
231	Coastal Car	-4.5
232	Nebraska Omaha	-4.5
233	High Point	-4.5
234	Holy Cross	-4.6
235	Mercer	-4.6
236	Albany	-4.6
237	Idaho State	-4.7
238	Rob Morris	-4.7
239	Maryland BC	-4.8
240	Boston U	-4.8
241	IUPUI	-4.9
242	Air Force	-5.0
243	TN State	-5.0
244	Santa Clara	-5.0
245	Fairfield	-5.0
246	California Baptist	-5.1
247	Hampton	-5.1
248	Sam Hous St	-5.1
249	Idaho	-5.2
250	Niagara	-5.2
251	TX Southern	-5.3
252	LIU-Brooklyn	-5.3
253	Quinnipiac	-5.4
254	Seattle	-5.4
255	WI-Milwkee	-5.4
256	TN Martin	-5.4
257	Fordham	-5.6
258	Portland	-5.6
259	Cornell	-5.7
260	Campbell	-5.7
261	S Florida	-5.8
262	AR Lit Rock	-5.8
263	Norfolk St	-5.9
264	Abilene Christian	-5.9
265	Navy	-6.0
266	UC Riverside	-6.0
267	Siena	-6.1
268	Gard-Webb	-6.3
269	SE Louisiana	-6.3
270	Charl South	-6.3
271	NC-Asheville	-6.4
272	Sac State	-6.4
273	UMKC	-6.5
274	TN Tech	-6.5
275	Fla Atlantic	-6.5
276	American	-6.6
277	Cleveland St	-6.6
278	Dartmouth	-6.7
279	North Dakota	-6.9
280	Cal Poly	-6.9
281	F Dickinson	-6.9
282	Marist	-7.0
283	Oral Roberts	-7.0
284	McNeese St	-7.1
285	Montana St	-7.1
286	E Kentucky	-7.1
287	Manhattan	-7.2
288	Charlotte	-7.3
289	NC Central	-7.3
290	Arkansas St	-7.3
291	Lafayette	-7.3
292	TX A&M-CC	-7.4
293	New Orleans	-7.5
294	SE Missouri	-7.6
295	Jacksonville	-7.8
296	Central Ark	-7.9
297	Drexel	-8.0
298	Samford	-8.1
299	Howard	-8.2
300	E Carolina	-8.2
301	Chattanooga	-8.2
302	N Hampshire	-8.2
303	Binghamton	-8.2
304	Grambling St	-8.5
305	W Carolina	-8.5
306	Citadel	-8.5
307	S Utah	-8.5
308	Prairie View	-8.8
309	W Illinois	-8.9
310	E Illinois	-8.9
311	Beth-Cook	-9.0
312	Loyola-MD	-9.2
313	Massachusetts Lowell	-9.3
314	Houston Bap	-9.6
315	Sacred Hrt	-9.7
316	St Fran (NY)	-9.8
317	Rice	-9.8
318	SIU Edward	-9.9
319	TX-Pan Am	-10.0
320	VA Military	-10.1
321	Youngs St	-10.3
322	Central Conn	-10.4
323	Bryant	-10.6
324	Southern	-10.7
325	N Arizona	-10.7
326	Detroit	-10.8
327	San Jose St	-10.9
328	Alabama St	-11.1
329	Kennesaw St	-11.5
330	Presbyterian	-11.5
331	Jackson St	-11.7
332	Morgan St	-12.1
333	Maine	-12.2
334	South Carolina Upstate	-12.3
335	Ark Pine Bl	-12.3
336	Mt St Marys	-12.5
337	Cal St Nrdge	-12.9
338	Incarnate Word	-13.2
339	NW State	-13.3
340	Stetson	-13.4
341	Maryland ES	-13.6
342	North Alabama	-13.7
343	Longwood	-13.8
344	S Car State	-14.2
345	NC A&T	-14.6
346	Chicago St	-14.8
347	Miss Val St	-15.1
348	Coppin State	-15.6
349	Alcorn State	-15.6
350	Savannah St	-15.6
351	Alab A&M	-17.1
352	Delaware St	-17.4
353	Florida A&M	-17.6

Before You Go …

As a final reminder, be sure to check out the season projections we create using these 2018 college basketball preseason rankings. There’s a ton to see:

College Basketball Projected Conference Standings. Projected conference records and full regular season records, plus win odds for both the conference regular season title and the postseason tournament.Bracketology Projections. Odds to make the NCAA tournament, plus projected seeding, and lots more details.NCAA Tournament Bracket Predictions. Round by round advancement odds, including probability of a team making the Sweet 16, making the Final Four, and winning the championship.

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